Nukenomics No Longer Add Up - Expert

, OneWorld US
Your rating: None Average: 3.6 (7 votes)

WASHINGTON, Oct 31 (OneWorld) - Nuclear power is a risky source of energy that comes with many hidden costs, said an environmental analyst and long-time leader in the U.S. environmental movement Tuesday.

A nuclear power plant on Lake Erie, in Michigan. © mandj98 (flickr)A nuclear power plant on Lake Erie, in Michigan. © mandj98 (flickr)Lester Brown, president of the Earth Policy Institute, said the "flawed economics" of nuclear power are placing unforeseen burdens on taxpayers: the costs related to the construction of nuclear plants, the disposal of nuclear waste, the decommissioning of old plants, and security in case of an accident all contribute to the price the world pays for nuclear power. Wind energy is a more economically sound option, said Brown.

The apparent cost of nuclear power is the cost of construction and fuel for nuclear plants, and this price is rising. The estimated construction cost of a nuclear reactor two years ago was between $2 and $4 billion. Now it is $7 billion, in part because of the rising cost of steel and cement, Brown said.

The price of fuel for nuclear power plants is also on the rise. Uranium now costs $60 per pound, compared to $10 at the beginning of the decade. This increase is due to the depletion of easily mined sites rich in ore, Brown said. Companies now have to dig deeper to find uranium, and the uranium content of the ore has dropped.

Brown said that when calculating the true cost of nuclear power, factors such as waste disposal, insurance in case of an accident, and decommissioning costs once a plant is worn out have to be included.

"A dollar invested in wind produces more energy, leads to a greater reduction in carbon emissions, and creates more jobs than one invested in nuclear power."
-Lester Brown, Earth Policy Institute
Brown mentioned the Yucca Mountain nuclear waste repository, where the United States plans to store the radioactive waste from its 104 nuclear reactors, as an example of unforeseen costs of nuclear power. Yucca Mountain is located 90 miles outside of Las Vegas, Nevada. The cost of this repository, estimated at $58 billion in 2001, has climbed to $96 billion.         

"Not only is Yucca Mountain over budget, it is 19 years behind schedule," said Brown. "It was originally supposed to be ready to accept waste in 1998 and it now is scheduled for 2017. It's not even certain that it will ever be completed."

The lack of a permanent waste storage facility is a security risk and security costs are usually not included in financial analyses either, said Brown. There are 121 temporary facilities in 39 states, and it is difficult to monitor and provide adequate security for all the sites. He cautioned that this distribution leaves the sites vulnerable to leakage, as well as possible terrorist attacks.

"There is a growing risk of radioactive material getting into the wrong hands," Brown said. He said there were 250 incidents last year of nuclear material being lost or stolen, and a lot was never recovered.

Another risk of nuclear power, according to Brown, is the danger of another accident like Chernobyl or Three Mile Island. Sandia National Laboratory estimates that a worst-case scenario accident would cost $700 billion, "roughly the size of the fiscal bail out that congress passed a few weeks ago," said Brown. The cap on liability for U.S. nuclear power plants was set at $10 billion by the government, so in the case of such an accident the excess cost would be born by tax payers.

The cost of decommissioning older nuclear reactors can tip the balance sheet too. Reactors have an average life expectancy of about 40 years. Since the first plant opened in 1954, over 100 reactors have been closed, but many have not completed the decommissioning process, said Brown. According to a 2004 International Atomic Energy Agency report, the decommissioning cost for each reactor will range from $250 to $500 million, not including the cost of removing and disposing of the waste.

A report by nuclear consultant Mycle Schneider said recently that about 90 nuclear reactors are set to close within the next seven years. With only 36 new nuclear reactors under construction worldwide, Brown notes that world nuclear power generation could drop by 10 percent by 2015. With this "aging of the nuclear fleet," nuclear power generation could hit a sharp decline as more aging reactors close.

"What we're looking at is a half century of growth being replaced by what could be decades of decline," said Brown.

Wind power rising. © Auntie K (Flickr)Wind power rising. © Auntie K (Flickr)In light of this impending decline, Brown said the U.S. government should stop investing money in nuclear power -- currently over $70 billion a year -- and devote more money to the research and development of renewable energy sources, such as wind.

Comparing nuclear power with wind, Brown pointed out that nuclear power already costs twice as much as electricity produced from the wind, not including the additional costs he cited.

"If we look at the economics comparing nuclear with wind, a dollar invested in wind produces more energy, leads to a greater reduction in carbon emissions, and creates more jobs than one invested in nuclear power," said Brown.

Environmental research and activist groups, including the Center for American Progress, Greenpeace, and the Worldwatch Institute, are pressing the next administration in Washington to support multibillion-dollar "green jobs" programs to spur the U.S. economy while slowing the onset of global climate change. Each group's plan calls for a significant increase in government support for renewable energy.

The U.S. Department of Energy released the first national wind resource inventory in 1991, which highlighted the potential of three states -- North Dakota, Kansas, and Texas -- to satisfy the country's electricity needs through wind energy. Brown said that since then, wind turbine technology has improved and he estimated that these three states now have enough potential wind energy to satisfy the country's entire energy needs, not just electricity.

"Wind is the most mature of the renewable energy sources," said Brown. "Emphasizing the creation of new jobs with investments in renewables and efficiency is the way we want to go."

OneWorld.net: Latest News, Groups Working on Nuclear Issues

Your rating: None Average: 3.6 (7 votes)

Comments

Nukenomics

Mr. Brown throws a lot of factlike information at us in this article. I would like to clarify a cost figure that suggests the nuclear waste repository proposed for Yucca Mountain has experienced substantial cost growth.

In 2001, the government (DOE) estimated it would cost $57.5 Billion in 2001 constant dollars to dispose of 83,800 metric tons of government and commercial nuclear waste. In 2008, DOE said that it expects that it will require $96.2 Billion in 2007 constant for disposal of 122,100 tons of waste. So, what we have is (a) cost basis change from 2001 to 2007 and (b) an increase in the amount of waste to be disposed of.

 Further, presently there is a statutory limit of 70,000 tons for the Yucca repository. If that is kept in place, I estimate it will cost $55 Billion to dispose of 70,000 tons at Yucca and we will need the balance for either (1) an expansion of Yucca for the 122,100 tons or (2) a second repository. Of course, it would be up to DOE to develop a more refined estimate and for Congress to decide whether to lift the cap for Yucca or begin a site search for a second repository.

PS: About 80 percent of repository costs will be paid for through fees paid by nuclear utilities and the rest from taxpayers for the government waste.

NUKENOMICS

MS. Schnell is naive about Electicity Generation. Wind will never become a base power source like coal and nuclear. It will make an excellent supplement, but only a supplement when the wind blows.

Yucca Mountain has not taken 19 years to build. It has taken that long for congress to approve funding to complete the project, not that long to build it. The NRC has just received the license application to open Yucca Mountain as a Nuclear waste storage site. How did she expect it to be operating without a license.

Yes, Nuclear Power has increased in cost, like everything else. That does not make a fair analysis, without comparing it wiith the total cost of alternative base power sources. The cost per Kilowatt hour of Nuclear generated power is similar or less than current coal plants when comparing the total cost of construction, operation and fuel.

Her comparison of a reactor disaster with Chernobyl is nothing more than fear mongering. Three Mile island was a success story for American reactor designs because all nuclear materials were contained within the containment vessel and no one was injured. The real conclusion of the Sandia Lab disaster was based on the Russian design without containment vessels. Western world reactors, which includes everything outside of the old USSR, has an accident cost more consistent with the $10 billion insurance.

This is the best example of misleading environmental reporting I have read in the last year.

 

jorth

  • Login to comment
  • Text Size
  • Email