OneWorld.net's take: Powering cars with green electricity instead of natural gas -- a finite, nonrenewable resource -- will have a positive effect on U.S. national security, climate change, and the economy, writes environmental expert Jonathan Dorn.
Wind turbines, a premier source of clean and renewable energy. © Taylor Dundee (Flickr)The "explosive" growth of wind, solar, and geothermal energy in the
United States -- Texas will soon satisfy all its residential energy
needs with wind power -- means increased energy security, stabilized
energy prices, and thousands of new jobs, writes environmental expert
and head of the Earth Policy Institute, Lester Brown.
Increased economic investment in clean energy sources is not only good for the environment, but it is also beneficial to the U.S. economy and work force. "By investing $100 billion in the green economy, we can create 2 million good jobs in the next two years," reports John Podesta, president of the Center for American Progress (CAP), a Washington, DC-based think tank.
From: Earth Policy Institute
November 19, 2008
Jonathan G. Dorn
With
the dramatic increase in oil prices earlier this year translating into
higher prices at the gas pump in the United States, concerns over U.S.
dependence on foreign oil are once again part of the national
discussion on energy security. Combined with the growing understanding
that carbon emissions from the combustion of fossil fuels are driving
global climate change, the debate is now focused on how to restructure
the U.S. transport system to solve these two problems. While the idea
of running U.S. vehicles on natural gas has lately received a great
deal of attention, powering our cars with green electricity is a more
sensible option on all fronts—national security, efficiency, climate
stabilization, and economics.
Having a fleet of natural gas–powered vehicles (NGVs) would simply
replace U.S. dependence on foreign oil with a dependence on natural
gas, another fossil fuel. The United States has scarcely 3 percent of
the world’s proved natural gas reserves, yet even without the increased
demand that would result from an NGV fleet, the country already
consumes nearly a quarter of the world’s natural gas. At current rates
of consumption, U.S. proved reserves would only meet national demand
for another nine years.
U.S. natural gas production has remained relatively constant over the
last two decades and is unlikely to increase over the long run, despite
growing consumption. Consequently, any rise in demand is likely to be
met by increasing imports. Since the late 1980s, U.S. net imports of
natural gas—primarily from Canada—have tripled. The U.S. Department of
Energy projects that by 2016 the majority of U.S. natural gas imports
will come from outside North America.
With Russia and Iran topping the list of countries with the largest
proved reserves of natural gas, a growing reliance on imports would
increase the strategic vulnerability of the United States. These two
nations—which along with 14 others collectively control nearly three
fourths of the world’s natural gas reserves—are members of a Gas
Exporting Countries Forum that was established in 2001. While there is
no direct evidence that these countries are seeking to form a natural
gas cartel, at the Forum’s 2005 annual meeting they discussed how to
maintain a satisfactorily high natural gas price. (See data).
Just like oil, natural gas is a finite, nonrenewable resource. This
means that switching to a fleet of NGVs would be at best a short-term
fix. As natural gas becomes more difficult to obtain and more costly, a
fleet of NGVs and the 20,000 or so natural gas refueling stations that
would be required to support them would simply be abandoned.
A better investment is one that supports a fleet of plug-in hybrid
electric vehicles (PHEVs), such as the Chevy Volt slated for sale in
2010, which can use the existing electric infrastructure. A study by
the U.S. Department of Energy’s Pacific Northwest National Laboratory
found that if all U.S. automobiles were PHEVs, the current U.S.
infrastructure could provide power for more than 70 percent of the
fleet. Battery charging would occur mostly at night, when demand for
electricity is low. In the emerging energy economy—an economy built on
domestic wind, solar, and geothermal energy sources—the greening of the
grid by replacing fossil fuel–based electrical generation will also be
a greening of the transport system. Beyond the grid, distributed power
systems—solar cells on rooftops, for example—could also be used to
power PHEVs.
With today’s energy mix, PHEVs running on electricity from the grid are
nearly three times more efficient than NGVs on a “well-to-wheel”
basis—that is, when considering the full life cycle of the energy
source, from fuel extraction to combustion to vehicle propulsion. This
is because internal combustion engines, such as those used in natural
gas vehicles and in today’s gas-powered automobile fleet, are
incredibly inefficient. Only 20 percent or so of the energy in the fuel
is used to move the vehicle. The other 80 percent is wasted as heat.
Thus, choosing electric vehicles over NGVs can sharply reduce energy
demand.
This important fact seems to have escaped T. Boone Pickens, the
legendary oil tycoon from Texas who is now promoting a plan to replace
natural gas in the electric power sector with wind-generated
electricity and use the freed up natural gas to power a fleet of NGVs.
Burning natural gas in a new combined cycle power plant is three times
as efficient as burning natural gas in a car. Even including electrical
losses from transmission, distribution, and battery charging, running a
car on electricity from a natural gas power plant is more than twice as
efficient. Keeping natural gas in the electric sector to help power a
fleet of PHEVs is therefore the logical choice. Wind-generated
electricity should replace electricity from coal-fired power plants,
the most polluting power source.
Under normal driving conditions, well-to-wheel carbon dioxide emissions
for vehicles running on electricity from natural gas–fired power plants
are one fourth as high as emissions from cars directly burning natural
gas. Since a PHEV operating in electric-only mode has no tailpipe
emissions, electrifying transport would move the majority of carbon
emissions from millions of vehicles to centralized
electricity-generating plants, greatly simplifying the task of
controlling emissions. As fossil-based power generation is replaced
with wind and solar power, cumulative carbon emissions from centralized
power facilities will be greatly reduced.
Carbon pollution is not the only environmental concern. Over the last
decade, the decline in U.S. conventional natural gas production has
been offset by turning to more unconventional sources, such as coalbed
methane, tight sandstones, and gas shales. Between 1998 and 2007, this
unconventional production increased from 28 to 47 percent of total
output. Growing reliance on gas shales in particular is raising
concerns about water consumption and contamination. Extracting gas from
this source involves hydraulic fracturing, a process that injects
water, sand, and chemicals into the shale layer at extremely high
pressures. The process can use millions of gallons of water per
extraction well and is known to leak chemicals into surrounding
aquifers. The Commissioner of the Department of Environmental
Protection for New York City recently wrote to the New York State
Department of Environmental Conservation voicing concerns that drilling
for natural gas in the Marcellus Shale formation will contaminate New
York City’s watershed, jeopardizing drinking water. Opposition to
unconventional production is likely to rise as gas companies attempt to
expand operations into increasingly sensitive areas.
On economics, driving with electricity is far cheaper than driving with
gasoline or natural gas. The average new U.S. car can travel roughly 30
miles on a gallon of gasoline, which cost $3.91 in July 2008 (the
latest date for which comparable price data for natural gas is
available). Traveling the same distance with natural gas cost around
$2.51, while with electricity, using the existing electrical generation
mix, it cost around 73¢.
In addition to being cheaper, electricity is less vulnerable to price
shocks than natural gas. Electricity is generated from many different
energy sources, so the impact of a quick rise in the price of any one
fuel is usually tempered by stable prices for other fuels. In the new
renewable energy economy, electricity prices will be insulated against
fuel shocks, since energy from the wind and the sun is abundant and
free.
While the price of residential electricity in the United States has
increased only 30 percent since 1995, the price of natural gas has more
than tripled due to rising demand and production costs. With the
fast-industrializing economies of China and India expected to compete
with the United States for natural gas, prices will likely continue
their sharp upward trend.
Choosing natural gas to power our vehicles would send the United States
down the same expensive and inefficient path that created our addiction
to foreign oil and our dependence on a resource that will ultimately
run out. Choosing green electricity can take us in a new direction—one
that leads to improved energy security and a stabilizing climate.
For more information about green electricity, visit the Earth Policy Institute.
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